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Ranking the World Cup 2026 groups: Which teams are favourites to progress?

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The first stage of the 2026 World Cup 2026 features 12 groups. We’ve ranked them and picked the favourites to advance.

A record 48 teams will contest this summer’s World Cup, with 12 groups making up the first stage of the tournament.

Twelve seeded teams are spread out across the groups, including the three host nations and eight top-ranked countries. The four highest-ranked teams – Spain, Argentina, France and England – were placed in separate sections, or quadrants, of a new tennis-style seeded tournament bracket.

FIFA said the top four nations, if they finish first in their respective round-robin groups, will avoid each other until the semifinals.

The top two teams from each group will automatically proceed to the round of 32, where they will be joined by the eight best third-placed sides.

Before the big kickoff, we’ve ranked the groups from hardest to easiest and picked the two favourites to automatically advance from each group.

The “group of death” at this year’s World Cup appears to be Group I, with the four teams having the highest average FIFA ranking.

France are one of the favourites to lift the title and are looking to make their third consecutive final appearance, while Senegal are one of the strongest African nations.

Erling Haaland’s Norway are dark horses and Iraq – who faced the most games to qualify – will be no pushovers.

Favourites for automatic qualification: France and Senegal

With an average world ranking of 26, including seventh-placed Netherlands, this group looks pretty tricky.

Japan were the first nation to qualify for the tournament and recently beat England at Wembley, while Sweden boast the attacking threats of Alexander Isak and Viktor Gyokeres.

Tunisia came through qualifying without conceding and will be looking to make the knockouts for the first time.

Favourites for automatic qualification: Netherlands and Japan

Croatia have reached the final and semifinals in their last two World Cup finals and will once again aim for a deep run in the tournament.

They face England in a mouthwatering opening fixture, as Thomas Tuchel samples tournament football with the Three Lions for the first time.

Carlos Queiroz will look to use all his experience to guide Ghana through the group stage, while Panama head to the tournament as Central America’s highest-ranked side.

England and Croatia should make it through this group, but it will not be a walk in the park for them.

Favourites for automatic qualification: England and Croatia

With two teams in the top 10 of FIFA’s rankings, this group looks to be pretty competitive.

Brazil are not the powerhouse they once were, but Carlo Ancelotti’s side will still be heavy favourites to qualify in top spot.

Eventual African Cup of Nations champions Morocco will look to repeat their heroics from 2022 and are likely to be the biggest challengers to Brazil.

Scotland and Haiti will likely battle for third place, but they could also spring an upset against the two higher-ranked teams.

Favourites for automatic qualification: Brazil and Morocco

Portugal and Colombia look like the strong favourites in this group, but do not count out playoff victors DR Congo or debutants Uzbekistan.

Fabio Cannavaro will lead the Central Asian side at their first World Cup, with Manchester City’s Abdukodir Khusanov amongst their ranks.

Colombia made their first Copa America final in more than 20 years in 2024 and will look to push Cristiano Ronaldo’s Portugal for top spot.

Favourites for automatic qualification: Portugal and Colombia

Spain are many people’s favourites for this tournament, with La Roja looking to follow up their successful Euro 2024 campaign with another trophy.

Their match-up with Marcelo Bielsa’s Uruguay will be one of the games to watch in the group stages, with the two sides likely vying for top spot.

Saudia Arabia showed that they can spring an upset at Qatar 2022 and they’ll likely be battling Cape Verde for third place.

Favourites for automatic qualification: Spain and Uruguay

While the average FIFA ranking in this group is the second-lowest out of all the groups, this still looks like a challenging pool of teams.

Germany are quietly on a good run of form and will be desperate to reach the knockouts after successive World Cup group stage exits.

Ecuador will be looking to put on a strong showing this summer after finishing second in South American qualifying to Argentina. They have Chelsea’s Moises Caicedo amongst their ranks.

Ivory Coast have enjoyed recent Africa Cup of Nations success and beat France in a warm-up match, while debutants Curacao are an unknown quantity.

Favourites for automatic qualification: Germany and Ecuador

Argentina have been handed a kind draw this year, with the defending champions likely to emerge as group winners.

Austria and Algeria are closely matched in the FIFA rankings and their game against each other is likely to decide second place in the group.

Jordan may be making their debut, but they will not be easy opponents. They were runners-up in the 2023 Asian Cup and scored 32 goals in qualifying, remaining unbeaten on the road.

Favourites for automatic qualification: Argentina and Austria

This looks to be one of the easier groups with an average FIFA ranking of 35.

Cohosts Mexico will lean on home advantage and look to have a strong chance of finishing in the top two.

South Korea were the only side to be unbeaten in Asian qualifying and should be battling for second spot with the Czech Republic, who are led by 74-year-old Miroslav Koubek.

South Africa have never reached the knockout stages at the World Cup, but they could sneak a third-place passage into the round of 32.

Favourites for automatic qualification: Mexico and South Korea

This looks to be a pretty comfortable group for Belgium, even if the days of the “golden generation” are now in the past. None of their opponents have ever made it out of the group at a World Cup, with Rudi Garcia’s side expected to come out on top.

Egypt, led by star man Mohamed Salah, have never won a World Cup match but will fancy their chances against Iran and New Zealand.

Iran’s preparations have been chaotic given the US-Israel war on their country, and it is hard to predict the effect this will have on them, while New Zealand look set for an uphill struggle as the lowest-ranked team in the tournament.

Favourites for automatic qualification: Belgium and Egypt

Despite having the second-highest average FIFA ranking, this looks to be one of the easier groups, with the cohosts handed a kind draw.

The US are the top-ranked team at world number 16 and coach Mauricio Pochettino will be banking on Christian Pulisic to guide them out of the group.

While this group lacks a standout star, it should be very competitive. Turkiye, who qualified via the playoffs, look most likely to finish in the top two alongside the US.

Paraguay and Australia are the lowest-ranked teams in the group, but will both fancy their chances of getting out of the group.

Favourites for automatic qualification: US and Turkiye

This group has an average FIFA ranking of 42, the lowest in the tournament. But, much like Group D, what it lacks in quality it should make up for in competitiveness.

Switzerland are the top-ranked team and have plenty of pedigree at making the knockout stages of major tournaments.

Cohosts Canada have a miserable record at World Cup finals, but they’ll be hoping that home advantage can spur them on under Jesse Marsch.

Bosnia and Herzegovina knocked Italy out in the playoffs and will be eyeing up an automatic qualification spot from this group, while 2023 Asian Cup champions Qatar will also fancy their chances of springing a surprise or two.

Favourites for automatic qualification: Switzerland and Canada

📰 மூல செய்தி (Source): https://www.aljazeera.com/sports/2026/6/5/ranking-the-2026-world-cup-groups-which-teams-are-favourites-to-progress?traffic_source=rss

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US visa rejections, war on Iran keep fans away from World Cup

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High visa application fees, equally high rejection rates, an unwelcoming America, and the war combine to deter fans.

When Iran qualified for the FIFA World Cup last March, the men’s national team didn’t expect their participation to hinge on visas being granted by hosts, the United States, only at the last moment – if at all.

Nor did Iranian fans eager to support Team Melli expect to be banned from entry by the US. President Donald Trump signed an executive order last June halting visa issuance to a handful of countries, including Iran, which the US designated a “state sponsor of terrorism”.

Perhaps most unanticipated for Iranians was that the host nation of the largest sporting event in the world would launch a war on their country just months before the tournament began.

For Amir Ghalenoei’s side, the joint US-Israel war was more than a wrench thrown into World Cup preparation plans; it was tangible and personal, as thousands across the country were killed by missile attacks.

It was the US bombing Azadi Stadium, home to several local matches and where the national team trained. It was the men’s team holding tiny backpacks in remembrance of the students massacred in a US strike on a school in Minab the day the war began.

After months of politically charged rigmarole between the US and Iran – which led to them switching basecamps to Mexico instead – the men’s national football team will find themselves playing in the shadow of war. That too, if the US grants them visas in time.

For Iranian football fans, travelling to the US was “almost impossible” even without the visa challenges or the war. There are no direct means of transport between the countries, which do not have formal diplomatic relations.

“Aside from the visa issue, you have to take two- or three-way routes from Tehran to get to the US,” said Ali, a fan who did not want to share his full name for safety reasons.

“Returning from the US to Iran is a big challenge in itself, with the possibility of being arrested by the [Iranian] government,” he added. The war has increased scrutiny of antinational sentiment within Iran, resulting in executions of people arrested on accusations of spying for Israel or the US.

Political repercussions extend to the sport sphere, too. Iran’s top footballer Sardar Azmoun was expelled from the national team in March for a perceived act of disloyalty to the government, when he posted a picture on social media of a ⁠meeting with Dubai ruler Mohammed bin Rashid Al Maktoum. Relations between the UAE and Iran have been tense during the war, with Iran hitting the Emirates repeatedly and accusing it of allowing the US to use its territory for attacks on Iran.

The US war on Iran, now nearing its 100th day, has also deterred fans globally from attending the World Cup.

“Football is called the Beautiful Game for a reason, for its ability to unite people,” South African football fan Byron Pillay told Al Jazeera.

“But it’s hard to believe in that magic with the politics and war rhetoric off the field of play, specially when one of the tournament hosts is central to that.”

Compatriot Riaz Hamed echoed those reservations. “With the stance of America in particular, regarding the treatment of fans and immigrants in the country, I don’t believe it to be entirely safe to attend.”

Fears have been stoked by reports from organisations such as Human Rights Watch, which said an asylum seeker who attended the Club World Cup final last year in New Jersey with his children was arrested by the Immigration and Customs Enforcement (ICE) department and deported to his country of origin.

Khayran Noor, an international sports lawyer based in Kenya, emphasised that sport cannot be separated from wider geopolitical dimensions.

“If participation can be shaped by geopolitical realities outside the game itself, does that ultimately undermine the inclusive ideals these tournaments claim to represent?” Noor said in an interview with Al Jazeera.

“Football is global, but global mobility is not; the World Cup sits directly at the intersection of that contradiction.”

Mounting visa rejections have also spooked fans from attempting to attend the World Cup.

The US has launched a FIFA Priority Appointment Scheduling System (PASS), which expedites visa interviews for fans who have bought tickets through FIFA. But it does not guarantee a visa.

Last month, a group of nearly 150 Ghana football fans saw their visa applications rejected.

Godwin Nii Armah, 32, scrapped his travel plans for the World Cup for personal reasons, but knew he might have shared the same fate as those compatriots. He also admitted that travelling to Toronto, Boston and Philadelphia to support the Black Stars would have been a costly logistical headache in addition to international flights and visa fees.

Ghana nationals have to pay a $185 fee with their US visa application and 100 Canadian dollars ($71) for the Canadian visa. Add the two, and the amount is comparable to the monthly per capita income in Ghana.

Noor questioned whether future FIFA host agreements should include obligations relating to accessibility and mobility before hosting rights are awarded.

“If teams and fans from particular parts of the world face structural barriers before they can even attend, then the broader spirit of inclusion that these tournaments seek to embody risks being undermined.”

She acknowledged that while states understandably retain sovereign responsibilities regarding border control and national security, global sporting events often require exceptional frameworks.

Fans from 27 of the 48 nations headed to the World Cup need a US visa to apply, costing anywhere between $185 to $435 – amounts that represent wages that an average person in many countries in the Global South would earn over several months.

Canada is marginally more visa-friendly, while Mexico remains the most accessible World Cup host nation.

That was why South Africa chose to send a small supporters group to Pachuca, Mexico, where South Africa have set up basecamp and play two group stage matches.

Sahil Ebrahim is among the “lucky few” in that delegation. After decades of supporting Bafana Bafana from a TV screen in Cape Town, Ebrahim attended the Qatar 2022 World Cup.

Now the 40-year-old is on his way to his second World Cup, where he will witness the tournament opener live in Mexico City, when South Africa play the hosts on June 11.

Contrary to the South African football team, who faced a 24-hour delay in their departure over a visa bungle by the federation, Ebrahim said the Department of Sport did an “excellent job” expediting their visas with the Mexican embassy.

The process, however, paled in comparison with the 2022 World Cup in Qatar, where Hayya cards centrally aligned all visa, ticket and transport details for each fan, Ebrahim acknowledged.

While South Africa’s friendly against Jamaica on Friday, June 5, is closed to the public, Ebrahim and the supporters’ group will watch an exhibition game on Sunday where the Bafana legends of 2010 will take on their Mexican counterparts. South Africa had hosted the World Cup in 2010, a first for an African nation.

“Ultimately, major sporting events succeed not only because people watch them, but because people participate in them,” Noor said.

“The question is not who can watch the World Cup – the question is who can truly participate in it.”

📰 மூல செய்தி (Source): https://www.aljazeera.com/sports/2026/6/5/us-visa-rejections-war-on-iran-keep-fans-away-from-world-cup?traffic_source=rss

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Thousands protest in Albania over Kushner-linked resort project

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Thousands protest in Albania over Kushner-linked resort project

Thousands of people have been protesting in Albania’s capital against a $5 billion luxury resort project backed by the US president’s son-in-law Jared Kushner.

📰 மூல செய்தி (Source): https://www.aljazeera.com/video/newsfeed/2026/6/5/thousands-protest-in-albania-over-kushner-linked-resort-project?traffic_source=rss

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How the world failed a mother’s children, killed in Israeli strikes on Gaza

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How the world failed a mother’s children, killed in Israeli strikes on Gaza

Palestinian journalist and mother Aya Shamaa wrote about how an Israeli strike killed her children, newborn Ryan and seven-year-old Yaman. Like countless mothers in Gaza, she saw her children as gleams of hope amid a fragile ceasefire. Narrated by Al Jazeera’s Al Anoud Al Aqeedi.

📰 மூல செய்தி (Source): https://www.aljazeera.com/video/newsfeed/2026/6/5/how-the-world-failed-a-mothers-children-killed-in-israeli-strikes-on-gaza?traffic_source=rss

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